What's new

Will Farmaajo break the one-term presidency jinx?

Canuck

#Justice4ShukriAbdi
Staff member
Wadani
Somalia’s President Mohamed Abdullahi Farmaajo, who is in the running for re-election in 2021, is facing a number of challenges despite his relatively good performance.

Somalia’s President Mohamed Abdullahi Farmaajo in Mogadishu after he was elected president in 2017. He will be seeking a second term in 2021. FILE PHOTO | NMG
BY FRED OLUOCH
IN SUMMARY
  • Mohamed Abdullahi Farmaajo has boosted revenue but has poor relations with federal states.
  • Unlike previous administrations, Farmaajo has mobilised the public to support the government.
  • In Somalia’s history of presidential elections, none of the incumbents have ever been re-elected.
  • Somalia’s President Mohamed Abdullahi Farmaajo, who is in the running for re-election in 2021, is facing a number of challenges despite his relatively good performance.
    Since his election on February 8, 2017, President Farmaajo has mobilised the public to support the government in a way that previous administrations did not.
    The president has improved the country’s financial management by boosting government revenue collection, embarked on streamlining the oil and gas sector by instituting a legal framework, and he enjoys goodwill from donors and development partners.
    President Farmaajo renounced his US citizenship and has maintained a firm stance over the maritime boundary dispute with Kenya.
    However, he does not have good relations with three federal states—Jubaland, Puntland and Galmudug—and his efforts to make the centre stronger than the periphery has earned him both friends and enemies, especially given that the 2012 Provisional Constitution provides for a federal system not a centralised one.
    Sheikh Sariff Ahmed, Abdullahi Yusuf and Hassan Sheikh Mohamoud were all booted out after their first terms.
    President Farmaajo will be judged on the major pillars that were part of his manifesto—improved security, political stability, revival of the economy, the war against corruption and his positive engagement with the international community.
    According to Abdiwahab Sheikh Abdisamad, the director and senior consultant at Southlink Consultants and Horn of Africa Political Scientist at Kenyatta University, President Faarmajo has failed to install a friendly government in Jubbaland, Puntland and Galmudug, which could cost him the re-election.
    “President Farmaajo is not as popular now as he was two years ago. He abused his own nationalistic narrative by seeking to form a strong centre in a federal system. Although Somalia’s politics is difficult to predict, all the indicators show he will be a one-term president,” said Dr Abdisamad.
    In September 2018, the five federal states—Hirshabelle, Puntland, Galmudug, Southwest and Jubbaland—suspended their co-operation with Mogadishu, citing President Farmajo’s failure to fight Al-Shabaab and his interference with their internal affairs. However, President Farmajo has managed to win over Hirshabelle and Southwest, and is now wooing Puntland.
    Debt relief
    On the economic front, President Farmaajo’s administration has made sustained progress in debt relief, robustly engaged with international financial institutions, and the Finance Ministry has been effective in keeping the public informed about income trends by putting the country’s budget online.
    However, he is yet to win the war against corruption, and late last year the government had to dissolve the Parliamentary Finance and Planning Committee after $42 million went missing.
    His biggest weakness is his inability to create political inclusion. He had promised a system of inclusive and stable politics that would include a review of the Provisional Constitution, deepening the federal system, and designing a one-person, one-vote electoral system.
    A review of the Constitution cannot take place without an agreed-upon amending formula, which does not exist. This means that one-person, one-vote in 2021 remains a dream.
    But above all President Farmajo will be judged by his ability to improve security and downgrading of Al-Shabaab.
    His government has pledged to rebuild an inclusive security force, and align security action with reconciliation and grassroots community engagement known as the Wadajir Framework.
    The challenge is how to get the federal states under leaders who had been members of the previous National Security Council under President Hassan to support him.
 

Von

Wadani
Qaxooti
Farmaajo has Galmudug, Hiran and SWS, SNA reform, Jubbland (soon), ICJ (we shall win) and debt relief, i doesnt win than no one will ever win a second term
 

MEATWAD

~
Wadani
Qaxooti
this gov shouldnt have elections until the country is somewhat educated. democracy only works in first world countries
 

Sagal

#Justice4ShukriAbdi👑🍒
Wadani
this gov shouldnt have elections until the country is somewhat educated. democracy only works in first world countries
I agree. Somalia is not ready for democracy, we need stability. Farmaajo needs to be re-elected using the current model. Thereafter Kheyre needs to be givem 8 years of presidency. After 16 years of N&N led peace, stability and growth, Somalia will finally be ready for one person one vote.
 

Von

Wadani
Qaxooti
I agree. Somalia is not ready for democracy, we need stability. Farmaajo needs to be re-elected using the current model. Thereafter Kheyre needs to be givem 8 years of presidency. After 16 years of N&N led peace, stability and growth, Somalia will finally be ready for one person one vote.
Then Abdirahman Beyle be president but his already in his 60s
 

Sagal

#Justice4ShukriAbdi👑🍒
Wadani
Then Abdirahman Beyle be president but his already in his 60s
I agree...I would 100% vote for Beyle. Beyle is a no-nonesense man who gets things done.

60s is nothing....people can still run countries in their 60s even 70s.
 

Top