Somalia Elections

Gacanlibaax

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The remaining seats, look at the selections for "The somaliland members" these con artist man...:pachah:

View attachment 51730

Hell no that they will be done within 40 days.
Great to see Xamar recognizing the official borders of Somaliland :ehh:I know some people would have calool shuub by seeing that map:trumpsmirk:
 

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The remaining seats, look at the selections for "The somaliland members" these con artist man...:pachah:

View attachment 51730

Hell no that they will be done within 40 days.
@MetalGearGaladi if garb, sw, hirshabelle, galmudug and some benadiri seats are pro nn its still less than the 136 majority needed. also how are the votes in galkacyo divided since theres parts in mudug and pl
 

MetalGearGaladi

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@MetalGearGaladi if garb, sw, hirshabelle, galmudug and some benadiri seats are pro nn its still less than the 136 majority needed. also how are the votes in galkacyo divided since theres parts in mudug and pl

You’re forgetting about the waqooyi bloc in Xamar specifically the Mahdi Guleed faction. They consist of 57 MPs in total but it’s expected that Abdi Xashi and Mahdi Guleed will split those votes with some independents winning some seats. The majority threshold to win in the presidential election is 165 seats. Also, the Galkacyo election venue pertains to the GM seats to be elected for the constituents in south Mudug and the ones in north Mudug hold their seat elections in Garowe.



State of the race:
Garbaharey: NN sweep
Bosaso: Leaning NN
Baidoa: Heavily favoured for NN
Barawe: Heavily favoured for NN
Galkacyo: Heavily favoured for Mucaraad
Samareeb: Leaning NN
Beletweyne: Toss-up
Jowhar: Leaning NN
Xamar:
BRA’s benadiri seats: heavily favoured for NN
Waqooyi: split

Garowe: Heavily Favoured for Mucaraad
Kismaayo: Heavily favoured for Mucaraad

Objectively speaking, Farmaajo still has the best chance in crossing the majority threshold out of all the candidates.
 

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You’re forgetting about the waqooyi bloc in Xamar specifically the Mahdi Guleed faction. They consist of 57 MPs in total but it’s expected that Abdi Xashi and Mahdi Guleed will split those votes with some independents winning some seats. The majority threshold to win in the presidential election is 165 seats. Also, the Galkacyo election venue pertains to the GM seats to be elected for the constituents in south Mudug and the ones in north Mudug hold their seat elections in Garowe.



State of the race:
Garbaharey: NN sweep
Bosaso: Leaning NN
Baidoa: Heavily favoured for NN
Barawe: Heavily favoured for NN
Galkacyo: Heavily favoured for Mucaraad
Samareeb: Leaning NN
Beletweyne: Toss-up
Jowhar: Leaning NN
Xamar:
BRA’s benadiri seats: heavily favoured for NN
Waqooyi: split

Garowe: Heavily Favoured for Mucaraad
Kismaayo: Heavily favoured for Mucaraad

Objectively speaking, Farmaajo still has the best chance in crossing the majority threshold out of all the candidates.
damn i forgot the 30% for islaamaha:ohlord:

id assumed the waqooyi block would vote for mucaaradka as sl has their own agenda.
 

MetalGearGaladi

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damn i forgot the 30% for islaamaha:ohlord:

id assumed the waqooyi block would vote for mucaaradka as sl has their own agenda.

Not necessarily so because of the unionist candidates/MPs allied with Mahdi. That’s why I would consider that bloc a split one for election predictions.

One thing to note is PL’s VP isn’t allied with Aaran Jaan. If things hold, it’s quite plausible that half of PL’s seats is now accessible for Farmaajo’s NN to contest and possibly win (Bosaso’s 16 plus 8 Dhulbahante out of 48 PL votes)
 

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Is there any truth to the reports saying Roble might run for the presidency?

and if that's the case wouldn't there be a conflict of interest arising for the guy who's been entrusted with holding the selection:denilook::seefarmaajo:
 
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In a push to make the new election deadline from the latest NCC meeting both GM and HS have announced a combined 32 seats to be up for election. Also, a mucaraad chairman now leads the FIET


Reshuffling of the FIET leadership was expected but has no electoral implications with the federal states still holding all the power over the elections. The NN/opposition affiliation breakdown of the incoming MPs from GM/HS is going to be the most interesting election related item for this week.
 

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It's called being smart. The South was colonized while we were a protectorate. It worked out just fine in the end and :fredo:it will work again in the future. :siilaanyo:You're already listening to radio Mogadishu in Italian.

:ma:Bosaso still supports Deni they just want him to compromise in the spirit of Puntlandnimo.
Yes and just like the past your colonial leader was put under house arrest and TPLF leader was slapped by a foreigner general so not much has changed :dead:

Deni lost Bosaso, you cant claim that while he dropped bombs and artillery on innocences, he lost the city to unelected people passed out of the economic centre of his state, Yeah bro Puntlandnimo:mjlaugh:
 

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Looks like AMISOM is not obeying their order of withdrawal. Did rooble sign any deals behind the scenes? Why are they targeting telecommunications buildings?
 

MDAX813

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Looks like AMISOM is not obeying their order of withdrawal. Did rooble sign any deals behind the scenes? Why are they targeting telecommunications buildings?
They got extended 3 months after December and most likely will be extended another 3 months after that.
 
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